What Are ETF Risks? - Fidelity (2024)

In general, ETFs do what they say they do. But as with all investments, be sure to be aware of potential risks.

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What Are ETF Risks? - Fidelity (1)

ETFs are bringing tremendous innovation to investment management, but as with any investment vehicle they’re not without their risks.

It’s important that investors understand the risks of using ETFs; let’s walk through the top 10.

1. Market risk

The single biggest risk in ETFs is market risk. Like a mutual fund or a closed-end fund, ETFs are only an investment vehicle—a wrapper for their underlying investment. So if you buy an S&P 500 ETF and the S&P 500 goes down 50%, nothing about how cheap, tax efficient, or transparent an ETF is will help you.

2. "Judge a book by its cover" risk

The second biggest risk we see in ETFs is the "judge a book by its cover" risk. With over 3,200 U.S. listed ETFs on the market today (Source: Bloomberg), investors face many choices in whatever area of the market they're choosing. For instance, the difference between the best-performing biotech ETF and the worst-performing biotech ETF is often vast.

Why? One biotech ETF might hold next-gen genomics companies looking to cure cancer, while the other might hold tool companies servicing the life sciences industry. Both biotech? Yes. But they mean different things to different people.

3. Exotic-exposure risk

ETFs have done an amazing job opening up different areas of the market, from traditional stocks and bonds to commodities, currencies, options strategies and more. But is having easy access to these complex strategies a good idea? Not without doing your homework.

For example, does the US Oil ETF track the price of crude oil? No, not exactly. Does the ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF —a 2X leveraged ETF—deliver 200% of the return of its benchmark index over the course of a year? No, it does not.

In general, as you move beyond plain-vanilla stock and bond ETFs, complexity reigns. Caveat emptor.

4. Tax risk

The "exotic" risk carries over to the tax front. For example, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF holds gold bars and tracks the price of gold almost perfectly. If you buy GLD and hold it for one year, will you pay the favorable long-term capital gains tax rate when you sell?

You would if it were a stock. But even though you buy and sell GLD like a stock, you're taxed based on what it holds: gold bars. And from the perspective of the Internal Revenue Service, gold bars are a "collectible." That means you pay 28% tax no matter how long you hold them.

Currencies are treated even worse. Again, as you move beyond stocks and bonds, caveat emptor.

5. Counterparty risk

ETFs are for the most part safe from counterparty risk. Although scaremongers like to raise fears about securities-lending activity inside ETFs, it's mostly bunk: Securities-lending programs are usually over-collateralized and extremely safe.

The one place where counterparty risk matters a lot is with ETNs. As explained in Exchange traded notes (ETNs),ETNs are simply unsecured debt notes backed by an underlying bank. If the bank goes out of business, you’re stuck waiting in line along with everyone else they owe money to.

6. Shutdown risk

There are a lot of ETFs out there that are very popular, and there are a lot that are unloved. Over the last 5 years, an average of 110 ETFs closed per year (Source: Bloomberg).

An ETF shutting down is not the end of the world. The fund is liquidated and shareholders are paid in cash. It's not fun, though. Often, the ETF will realize capital gains during the liquidation process, which it will pay out to the shareholders of record and that could mean an unnecessary tax burden. There will also be transaction costs, uneven tracking, and various other grievances. One fund company even had the gall to stick shareholders with the legal costs of closing the fund (this is rare, but it did happen).

7. ETF trading risk

Unlike mutual funds, you can't always buy an ETF with zero transaction costs. Like any stock, an ETF has a spread, which can vary from one penny to many dollars. Spreads can vary over time as well, being small one day and wide the next. What's worse, an ETF's liquidity can be superficial: The ETF may trade one penny wide for the first 100 shares, but to sell 10,000 shares quickly, you might have to pay a quarter spread.

Trading costs can quickly eat into your returns. Understand an ETF's liquidity before you buy, utilize limit orders and avoid trading around the open and close of the market.

8. Broken ETF risk

Most of the time, ETFs work just like they're supposed to: happily tracking their indexes and trading close to net asset value. But sometimes, something in the ETF breaks, and prices can get way out of whack, especially in international markets.

Often, this is not the ETF's fault. When the Athens Stock Exchange closed for over a month in the summer of 2015, Global X MSCI Greek ETF (GREK) traded at significant premiums to net asset value. If investors wanted to get out, they would expect to lose money when they sold. Market prices of the underlying securities were not available while the market was closed, so the ETF had to be priced with the information available, which was limited (Source: ETF.com).

We've seen this happen as well in ETNs or in commodity ETFs, when (for various reasons) the product has stopped issuing new shares. Those funds can trade up to sharp premiums, and if you buy an ETF trading at a significant premium, you should expect to lose money when you sell.

9. Hot new thing risk

The ETF marketing machine is a mighty force. Every week—sometimes every day—it comes out with the new, new thing… one ETF to rule them all … a fund that will outperform the market with lower risk, all while singing "The Star-Spangled Banner."

While there are a lot of great new ETFs that come to market, you should be wary of anything promising a free lunch. Study the marketing materials closely, work to fully understand the underlying index's strategy, and don't trust any back-tested returns.

10. Crowded trade risk

The "crowded trade risk" is related to the "hot new thing risk." Often, ETFs will open up tiny corners of the financial markets where there are investments that offer real value to investors. Bank loans are a great example. A few years ago, most investors hadn't even heard of bank loans; today, more than $12 billion is invested in bank-loan ETFs.

That's great…but be warned: As money rushes in, the attractiveness of a particular asset can diminish. Moreover, some of these new asset classes have limits on liquidity. If the money rushes out, returns may suffer.

That's not to warn anyone away from bank loans, or emerging market debt, or low-volatility strategies, or anything else. Just be aware when you're buying: If this asset wasn't core to your portfolio a year ago, it should probably still be on the edge of your portfolio today.

In general, ETFs do what they say they do and they do it well. But to say that there are no risks is to ignore reality. Do your homework.

What Are ETF Risks? - Fidelity (2024)

FAQs

What is the risk of ETF? ›

The single biggest risk in ETFs is market risk. Like a mutual fund or a closed-end fund, ETFs are only an investment vehicle—a wrapper for their underlying investment.

What is a potential drawback of investing in an ETF? ›

For instance, some ETFs may come with fees, others might stray from the value of the underlying asset, ETFs are not always optimized for taxes, and of course — like any investment — ETFs also come with risk.

How do you evaluate risk of an ETF? ›

The two ways to see how closely an ETF matches the index performance are 'tracking error' and 'tracking difference'. Tracking difference addresses how closely the ETF tracks the index returns, while tracking error reflects how consistent over time the tracking quality is.

What is the biggest risk in ETF? ›

The single biggest risk in ETFs is market risk.

Are ETFs riskier than funds? ›

Both are less risky than investing in individual stocks & bonds. ETFs and mutual funds both come with built-in diversification. One fund could include tens, hundreds, or even thousands of individual stocks or bonds in a single fund. So if 1 stock or bond is doing poorly, there's a chance that another is doing well.

Are Fidelity ETFs worth it? ›

ETFs can offer lower operating costs than traditional open-end funds, flexible trading, greater transparency, and better tax efficiency in taxable accounts. As with all investment choices there are elements to review when making an investment decision.

Is an ETF a risky investment? ›

Key Takeaways. ETFs can be safe investments if used correctly, offering diversification and flexibility. Indexed ETFs, tracking specific indexes like the S&P 500, are generally safe and tend to gain value over time. Leveraged ETFs can be used to amplify returns, but they can be riskier due to increased volatility.

Has an ETF ever gone to zero? ›

For most standard, unleveraged ETFs that track an index, the maximum you can theoretically lose is the amount you invested, driving your investment value to zero. However, it's rare for broad-market ETFs to go to zero unless the entire market or sector it tracks collapses entirely.

Are ETFs safer than stocks? ›

Because of their wide array of holdings, ETFs provide the benefits of diversification, including lower risk and less volatility, which often makes a fund safer to own than an individual stock. An ETF's return depends on what it's invested in. An ETF's return is the weighted average of all its holdings.

How to know if an ETF is doing well? ›

Since the job of most ETFs is to track an index, we can assess an ETF's efficiency by weighing the fee rate the fund charges against how well it “tracks”—or replicates the performance of—its index. ETFs that charge low fees and track their indexes tightly are highly efficient and do their job well.

Why am I losing money on ETFs? ›

Interest rate changes are the primary culprit when bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) lose value. As interest rates rise, the prices of existing bonds fall, which impacts the value of the ETFs holding these assets.

How many ETFs have failed? ›

There are a few reasons why ETFs generally die. Low assets under management, high fees, poor performance, and short track records are closely associated with the probability of closure. In 2023, there were 244 ETF closures with an average age of 5.4 years and average assets under management of only $54 million.

What is the disadvantage of ETF over mutual fund? ›

ETFs often generate fewer capital gains for investors than mutual funds. This is partly because so many of them are passively managed and don't change their holdings that often. However, ETFs also have a structural ability, called the in-kind creation/redemption mechanism, to minimize the capital gains they distribute.

What happens if ETF collapses? ›

As with traditional investment funds, ETFs have to place their underlying investments with a custodian. The fund provider cannot be both the fund manager, and the "guardian" of the assets. So if an ETF provider goes bankrupt, your investments are not gone cause they will still be kept by the custodian.

Is ETF safer than stocks? ›

A single ETF can contain dozens or hundreds of different stocks, or bonds or almost anything else considered an investable asset. Since ETFs are more diversified, they tend to have a lower risk level than stocks.

What happens to my ETF if Vanguard fails? ›

If Vanguard ever did go bankrupt, the funds would not be affected and would simply hire another firm to provide these services.

Do ETFs have credit risks? ›

In the extreme case of a counterparty default, while ETFs can fall back on collateral assets, investors would face risks associated with the collateral. Both synthetic ETFs and ETFs offering securities lending are typically over-collateralised.

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